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<p class="in-category"> <span>in:</span> <a href="https://www.artofmanliness.com/character/advice/" rel="category tag">Advice</a>, <a href="https://www.artofmanliness.com/character/" rel="category tag">Character</a>, <a href="https://www.artofmanliness.com/podcast/" rel="category tag">Podcast</a></p>
<p class="single-date"> <span class="vcard author" itemprop="author" itemscope="" itemtype="http://schema.org/Person"> <span itemprop="name">Brett &; Kate McKay</span> </span> • <span itemprop="datePublished">December 30, 2025</span><meta itemprop="dateModified" content="December 30, 2025"/></p>
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<p>Most of us chase goals — starting a business, running a marathon, getting a promotion — without ever asking: What are the actual odds this will work?</p>
<p>My guest today says those odds aren’t just graspable — they’re hackable.</p>
<p>Kyle Austin Young is a strategy consultant and the author of <a href="https://amzn.to/4iYttYe"><em>Success Is a Numbers Game</em></a>. He argues that every goal comes with a hidden probability of success or failure, and by thinking strategically — rather than just hoping for the best — you can tilt the odds in your favor.</p>
<p>In the first part of our conversation, Kyle explains the three common ways people pursue goals and their potential downsides. We then unpack how to approach your goals through probability hacking. We discuss how to spot the weak links in your plan, how to map out a “success diagram” that helps you avoid common pitfalls and pursue goals more intelligently, and how to use these same principles to know when you should quit a goal.</p>
<p><amp-youtube layout="responsive" width="1170" height="878" data-videoid="sb3b2_vq-uo" title="How to Use Probability Hacking to Achieve Your Goals"><a placeholder href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sb3b2_vq-uo"><img src="https://i.ytimg.com/vi/sb3b2_vq-uo/hqdefault.jpg" layout="fill" object-fit="cover" alt="How to Use Probability Hacking to Achieve Your Goals"></a></amp-youtube></p>
<h2>Resources Related to the Podcast</h2>
<h2><b>Connect With Kyle Austin Young</b></h2>
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<h2>Listen to the Podcast! (And don’t forget to leave us a review!)</h2>
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<h2>Transcript Coming Soon</h2>
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Podcast #1,098: How to Use Probability Hacking to Achieve Your Goals
